Paid social is the lifeblood of growing ecommerce brands.
Unfortunately, far too many owners, operators, and marketers play the game without a clear strategy on how they’re going to win.
Fewer still combine a Facebook ad cost calculator and Facebook ad budget calculator centered on a single goal: ecommerce profitability.
Good news. That’s exactly what this article contains — a downloadable calculator, step-by-step instructions, and video tutorial.
To cover all those ingredients, we’ll ask and answer three questions:
But, first …
If you’re new to Facebook advertising, please skip this section and video.
For anyone else, let’s dive into the deep end with an overview of how Common Thread Collective scales Facebook Ads for our clients and in-house DTC brands.
Here’s the key …
Campaign budget optimization (CBO) paired with a cost cap bid strategy allows you to control the flow of spend and protect target CPA.
Imagine your campaigns as pipes automatically blocking cost per actions (CPAs) that are too high while unleashing optimal CPAs to flow through:
The short answer — at least for the “do” part — is easy: Facebook advertising costs will never exceed your budget. If you have a budget of $100 per day, Facebook Ads will never charge you more than $100 per day.
Of course, the harder question surrounds “should”: How much should Facebook advertising cost you?
The biggest mistake ecommerce businesses make is spending money before they know why they are spending it. Even worse — they start “optimizing” inside Facebook Ads Manager and tweaking campaigns based on vanity metrics or short-sighted data.
What’s the solution?
Set a success target that’s based on your business’ costs. And always make it about profit.
Profit fuels growth. It guides your decisions on how to scale, how much to spend, and on what channels. (At least, it should.)
That means, to know what Facebook should cost, you need to do a profitability analysis.
And don’t worry, we have a calculator — the one tool you’ll need — to help you do that:
Once you’ve worked out your success target, you can then move with confidence through the metrics and acronyms to manage your Facebook ad spend:
CPM = Ad Spend x 1000 ÷ Total Impressions
An impression is when someone has viewed your ad. For every 1,000 impressions, there is a cost associated with it.
Your CPM will indicate whether or not your Facebook ad campaign is cost-effective.
CTR = Number of Clicks ÷ Number of Impressions x 100
CTR compares how many people saw your ad to how many people clicked on it. Keep an eye on your CTR to have a better understanding of whether or not your ads are effectively creating interest — particularly your ad creative.
CPC = Ad Spend ÷ Outbound Link Clicks
CPC refers to how much each click from an ad to your website is costing you.
You can tell when your website isn’t converting when your CTR and CPC are both high. If that’s the case, time to start optimizing onsite.
CPATC = Total Cost ÷ Adds to Cart
What happens if someone goes to your website through an ad, adds a product to cart, but doesn’t purchase?
We want to know how much it costs to get there. So, taking your total cost divided by the number of unique adds to cart gives you cost per add to cart.
CPUCI = Total Amount Spent ÷ Unique Website Checkouts Initiated
This metric takes into consideration how much it costs to get someone from add to cart to initiating the checkout process.
ROAS = Total Revenue ÷ Total Spend
Naturally, ROAS forces you to question how much you’re spending and how much return you’re seeing on that spend.
Just be careful not to overly fixate on single-account ROAS targets nor to hastily adjust in real-time.
While those metrics cover the general bases, for accounts ready to scale, we can get even more tactical.
The primary dashboard view — Columns — Common Thread Collective uses for our Consolidated Ad Account Structure includes …
To set that up for yourself, simply copy and paste the following sting after your business_id= in Facebook’s Ad Manager campaign-view URL:
CR = Unique Purchasers ÷ Total Unique Site Visitors
CR looks at how many people on your site convert into a sale.
It helps you understand if you’re getting the most out of the traffic that is converting on your ad.
Improving your CR will help you get more sales from the same amount of traffic. When CR is low, you will need to experiment with things like improving your checkout process or introducing new ad creative.
AOV = Total Revenue ÷ Orders
AOV helps give you a sense of how much on average someone spends on your site when they purchase. It’s a direct indicator of your revenue.
Within ecommerce, AOV varies widely across verticals: from beauty to electronics to home goods to fashion.
Typically, the higher your AOV, the more you can pay to acquire a customer on paid ads.
Simply put, the only time you should use benchmarks is tracking seasonal trends within your vertical.
Even then, benchmarks are a dangerous game — especially categorical data. Your benchmarks should always be unique to your own brand. If profit is your ultimate success metric, then make sure to grab the Profit Analysis Calculator:
Benchmarks are out there. And you can certainly Google them. But please, resist the temptation.
A bid represents what you’re willing to pay to achieve a desired outcome. Whereas your bid strategy determines how Facebook spends that budget.
The daily budget is the total amount you’re willing to spend on a specific campaign per day.
If you’re advertising products with varied AOV, you will want to set up different campaigns at different budgets, separating those campaigns either by individual SKU or categories of SKUs with similar AOVs (purchase types).
You can learn all about that in our Consolidated Ad Account Structure.
A lifetime budget lets you set an amount to spend over the lifetime of a campaign. Facebook will automatically try to evenly spread the amount that you spend across the period of time that you’ve selected.
The only variable to consider is that more or less budget may be spent on particular days if Facebook’s algorithm believes there is more opportunity on a particular day.
However, it will pare back the budget on other days to ensure you don’t exceed your lifetime budget.
Daily budget refers to the daily spend you’re allocating to a campaign. Whether you opt for a daily or lifetime budget, this is the amount you need to be prepared to spend.
Bidding strategies help you control your cost per optimization event in the same way budgets help control your overall spend.
The four types include:
What’s the difference?
The lowest cost bid strategy is the only automatic bid type — meaning, you are not controlling the way that Facebook spends your budget.
Instead, you’re telling Facebook to go get the lowest possible result with the creative ad audience you chose.
Oftentimes, with stores that have zero historical data or a brand new pixel and want to learn quickly while not necessarily needing to maintain profitability, lowest cost is the best route.
Choosing the bid cap strategy is a safe way to control spend according to your performance goals.
Facebook’s algorithm is smart. If it doesn’t believe it can acquire the customer you’re trying to target, it won’t spend your money.
Set bid caps 30% above your target CPA.
Cost cap is about maximising cost efficiency by trying to get the most results at or below your desired CPA.
Let’s say your target cap cost is $25. Facebook will not spend your budget unless it can find customers at your target CPA.
At CTC, we recommend using Cost Caps above all other bid strategies.
Set cost caps right at your target CPA.
Using target cost tells Facebook to aim for the average cost to be within a 10% range of the amount you enter. Essentially, this cost control sets both a ceiling and a floor on the CPA target you are looking to achieve.
If you want to acquire a customer for $25, it will only spend within a 10% range of the amount: $27.50-$22.50. Anything below means you won’t acquire a customer above or below your target cost.
We usually recommend it if you are looking to achieve the most stable results as your spend increases and as you scale.
Set target cost at your target CPA … and gradually decrease until you lose delivery.
When you publish an ad, Facebook holds an automated ad auction among the advertisers competing for the same ad space. But the Facebook auction doesn’t function in a traditional sense.
In January 2018 Mark Zuckerberg announced a shift in how the Facebook algorithm works, prioritizing meaningful interactions.
Facebook wanted to achieve two things:
How does the process of an ad auction work? Facebook analyzes a combination of the following factors …
Facebook doesn’t give the advertiser with the highest bid automatic victory. This is on purpose to ensure Facebook is maintaining a high-quality feed experience for people using the platform.
With the user’s experience in mind, Facebook’s platform determines ad performance based on what the user’s interests are and shows them the most relevant ads based on those interests.
Facebook refers to the phrase “estimated action rates” to determine how likely a person is to act on your ad.
This assumption is based on historical ad performance, post-link click experience, and the previous actions of the user you’re targeting. The latter ties into the ad objectives you set for your campaign such as video views, conversions, or link clicks.
So, you’ve won the auction … but at what cost?
Facebook considers all of the ads competing for space and charges the winning ad the minimum amount that’s required to win the auction.
You won’t always be charged your maximum bid.
Aside from your bid amount, there are a combination of other factors that Facebook looks at to determine the delivery and cost of Facebook Ads.
It’s supply and demand.
When you consider some of the peak ecommerce times of the year — such as Black Friday and Cyber Monday — you can bet there will be more advertisers on the platform placing bids.
The more advertisers using the platform, the higher the competition, and the more you’ll have to pay if you win.
This is why during peak online-shopping moments the CPMs on Facebook rise overall.
Facebook gives you the option to choose between automatic bid or manual bid. If you choose automatic, Facebook decides the bid amount for you. With a manual bid, it’s the amount you set and what you’re willing to spend to achieve the result you want.
Facebook looks at how your ad is performing based on the objectives you set for it (i.e., number of link clicks, video views, etc.) and whether users have reported any negative feedback to determine if your ad is achieving a good relevance score.
Broadly speaking, the more specific and niche you get with your audience targeting, the more expensive reaching them becomes.
It can also depend on how many other advertisers are trying to target the same audience as you.
Where your ads appear within Facebook’s ecosystem can have an effect on the cost of your bid.
Opting into automatic placements shows your ad on Instagram and the Audience Network, therefore reaching more of your audience and reducing the average cost.
Depending on what optimization for ad delivery you choose, Facebook will serve your ad to people who are most likely to take that action.
If you don’t optimize your ad for the result you want, Facebook might not show your ad to the people who are the most likely to take the desired action you want.
Assuming your end goal is to make money, always optimize for purchase conversions.
This will ensure Facebook delivers your ad to people who are most likely to convert.
You may notice your CPM and CPC are higher, but when you optimize for conversions over clicks, it often leads to the highest possible ROAS for that ad creative and audience.
You’re telling Facebook exactly what you want: purchases.
Finally, let’s turn to one of the most important features of Facebook costs and budgets. To say we’re “all in” on CBOs at CTC would be an understatement. Nonetheless, there’s still a few things to watch out for …
Before Campaign Budget Optimization (CBO), it wasn’t as easy to track and optimize account spend because budgets were governed at the ad set level.
With CBO, you can set the budget at a campaign level and let Facebook automatically find the best active opportunities to maximize your results. As a result …
With all that love … where do CBOs go wrong.
Hint: not at the machine level.
Think about the process of analyzing data or running a test.
The more variables you introduce, the more time and money it costs to reach statistical significance. Translation? You won’t have any actionable data to keep optimizing and scaling your spend.
Say you have a daily campaign budget of $250 governing five ad sets each with six ads within them. That’s 30 individual ads that need to be tested in order to determine a winner: 30 variables.
At a minimum, every ad needs 1x AOV to meaningfully evaluate performance: statistical significance. If you’ve got a product with a $200 AOV, the math on that is pretty straightforward:
30 (total number of variables) x $200 (AOV) = $6,000 (total spend)
If you take your total spend and divide that by the daily budget of $250, that’s 24 days until you have any actionable information from your campaign.
Solution: Accelerate your learning as much as possible by reducing the number of ad sets within your CBO.
Before CBOs, bid caps were set at CPA targets.
Now, if you set your bid cap, cost cap, or target cost too low for what Facebook thinks your audience and creative pairing can get you, it won’t spend.
This doesn’t mean that the mistake is low caps. Instead, it’s the exact opposite.
To make Facebook spend your budget, you’ll be tempted to increase your cap or change your audience. Don’t.
Ultimately, this will lead to acquiring customers above your target CPA — sacrificing profitability and limiting your ability to scale.
If CBOs won’t spend your budget, it means that Facebook is not delivering your creative because it can’t find customers that will purchase at your target CPA using the creative that you have.
Solution: Be patient with your CBOs and Cost Caps. If they’re not spending at first, wait a couple days before making any changes. If they’re still not spending, always optimize your ad creative and copy before increasing your caps.
This is the single hardest thing to do with CBOs: trust it and not touch it.
Especially when you see bad initial performance.
As a profit-sensitive media buyer (which is good) comparing two ad sets too early (which is bad) you’re knee jerk reaction will always be to kill the one with the highest CPA (which is really bad).
Because Facebook’s platform can detect changes in trend lines and direction, it will automatically shift the budget to the ad set likely to perform better. What’s more, it’s able to analyze indicators about future performance.
As humans, all we’re able to do is look at a mere snapshot of data when trying to predict the future: our data. Facebook, on the other hand, is analyzing near exhaustive data orders of magnitude larger than what we can see.
First, stop making decisions in your ad account based on one-to-three days of data. Train yourself to look at larger windows of data: ideally larger than 14 days. Second, and this is the real key …
Solution: Only touch, tinker, and make manual changes within your CBOs on the ad creative itself — the ultimate human-led performance lever. Let Facebook worry about shifting your budget.
After all, that’s what it does best.
To set effective Facebook ad budgets, you need to first define your success metric and work out the specific amount you can spend on advertising as well as the return (ROAS) you need to maintain profitability.
Bidding strategies help you control your cost per action (CPA) in the same way budgets help control your overall spend.
Choosing the right bid strategy will depend on your appetite for cost control and what’s going to help you achieve your targets.
Facebook is trying to move advertisers away from tinkering in their ad accounts to trusting its machine-learning algorithm and automation.
As an owner or advertiser, this is an opportunity to focus more on your ad creative — the human side of paid media — while letting Facebook do what it does best.
Adrianne leads growth at Admission, CTC’s monthly membership community for DTC founders, marketers, and freelancers. She’s passionate about providing members with the skills and support they need to run paid ads profitability as they scale your ecommerce business. If you’ve got a question, reach out on Twitter or Email Adrianne here.